Its fait to argue the size embellishments.

The point is Trump is gaining on minorities and this is just a small example of that.

But hey if you dont know who to vote for, then you aint black.

These sort of 'gambling' markets or whatever one calls them are sort of the equivalent imho to futures trading, showing a larger than real shift in the market valuations. Still, this is interesting/good news:

.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner

April 18
🟦 Biden 45% (+2)
🟥 Trump 43%
.
May 27
🟥 Trump 56% (+19)
🟦 Biden 37%

Net 21 point swing towards Trump https://t.co/D4nhNtXdZR https://t.co/IPZ45EPnDQ pic.twitter.com/1Cys5p0xpv

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) May 27, 2024

And again, I think it's more 'correct' to think such shifts reflect the reality of the states that matter, not national polls:

For better or worse, the popular vote isn't how we decide elections in the US. In 2012, Obama polled ~2 points better in the tipping-point states than in the national popular vote. In 2024, Biden is underperforming national polls by 2-3 points in the tipping-point states. https://t.co/mZqolVB3CN

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) May 23, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris is the favorite of swing state voters to replace President Joe Biden if he were to drop out of the 2024 presidential race, according to a recent poll. MORE: https://t.co/7v65VjVEJu pic.twitter.com/w3hECQHzGS

— NEWSMAX (@NEWSMAX) May 26, 2024

Republicans (or at least both of us) have at times lamented the nomination of DJT, but how hilarious would it be if it's him vs. Veepthroat as candidates in November?

Rapier108 said:

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Vice President Kamala Harris is the favorite of swing state voters to replace President Joe Biden if he were to drop out of the 2024 presidential race, according to a recent poll. MORE: https://t.co/7v65VjVEJu pic.twitter.com/w3hECQHzGS

— NEWSMAX (@NEWSMAX) May 26, 2024

---

I hope it's her. Trump would win big time

The only person that can save Dems is Michael Obama. Would she do it? Idk I hope not.

I dont think she could do it. America does not want a woman as president. If the dems replace biden, i think it'd be w/ newsome. But i think biden stays and Trump takes the W.

AggieVictor10 said:

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America does not want a woman as president.

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Wrong. Again and again and again.

AggieVictor10 said:

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I dont think she could do it. America does not want a woman as president. If the dems replace biden, i think it'd be w/ newsome. But i think biden stays and Trump takes the W.

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Identity politics has cost the Dems dearly.

If you're a Black woman, are you going to make any effort to vote for Newsom in November if he replaces Kamala on the ticket?

bobbranco said:

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AggieVictor10 said:

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America does not want a woman as president.

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Wrong. Again and again and again.

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Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male

TAMUallen said:

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bobbranco said:

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AggieVictor10 said:

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America does not want a woman as president.

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Wrong. Again and again and again.

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Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male

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Quite surprised she does not blame Slick Willie.

TAMUallen said:

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bobbranco said:

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AggieVictor10 said:

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America does not want a woman as president.

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Wrong. Again and again and again.

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Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male

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Hubris is kind of like that.

Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;

Quote:

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A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.

Quote:

---

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

---

---

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.

Quote:

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They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.

---

While more wars are undoubtedly coming, as Biden's amazing displays of weakness that have emboldened bad actors around the globe won't be forgotten anytime soon, and I'm sure new variants will surely be fear mongered by pravda to keep absentee voting as a mass-mailed in mickey mouse banana republic **** show election, I don't think they need all that. They might have even realized by now that trying to imprison the anti-socialist political opposition is backfiring. But all they just need is to pay off the Biden family to have their geriatric empty suit figurehead step down before their convention.

CBS PHILADELPHIA: "The majority of people in Pennsylvania said they would be financially better off with TRUMP back in office." pic.twitter.com/FphLJQUfKy

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) May 29, 2024

Yet I'm sure Philly precincts will be able to spend an extra week finding more Biden ballots to count until desired results are achieved again.

interesting =

I looked at the Predict.org markets again yesterday

Trump is leading Biden 53% to 50%

yet "Democrat" is leading "Republican" for the Presidency.

the only explanation is that a lot of money is betting Biden is NOT the candidate.

Anyone voting for Biden is actually voting for his handlers pulling the stings on that empty suit in the shadows anyway.

Man, that quick video reminded me of something. When you see the walking stiff Biden unsure but slowly sliding around stage it almost looks normal for him.

But when you see him walking with a crowd of his peers, you can really see the difference physically. He's so incredibly incapable mentally and physically…and they keep pretending everything is fine.

Photos from President Biden's Philadelphia rally: the school's gym is only about half full of supporters

A good amount of space is empty and spacious press workspace takes up the rest pic.twitter.com/et70d2lpCD

— Steven Nelson (@stevennelson10) May 29, 2024

.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner:

Donald Trump 56% (+19)
Joe Biden 37%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2%https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/8ttB9JY5O8 pic.twitter.com/7lt7cKhkQM

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) May 29, 2024

I like it, and the most recent Nevada numbers they showed. Do Democrats really think Merchan can knock 10 percent off his numbers in those states with his tribunal?

Philly, ladies and gents. Just 30 minutes from the most popular politician ever's hometown of Wilmington. A key driver for +270 EC votes and +81 million record shattering ballots counted.

Virginia -- which Biden won by 10 -- is tied/within margin of error in a five-way.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls

Most popular Presidential candidate in the history of our nation, everybody!

7th largest metro area in the country, 30 minute drive from his home town. 6.2Million people live around here.

~200 showed up probably even counting the press

Totally believable, folks.

More on Virginia being in play:

Quote:

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By any metric, Virginia has not been competitive at the national level in more than a decade. When Trump won the presidency without the state in 2016, he became the first Republican to do so since William Howard Taft in 1908.

It is amid this backdrop that a new poll from Roanoke College shows the presidential election in the state tied. Biden and Trump both registered 42% support in the new poll, while the president opens up a slim 2-point advantage when third-party candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein are included.

For a state that has hardly been competitive for Republicans in recent cycles, the poll results are nothing short of astounding. If Biden fails to carry Virginia in November, his path to 270 electoral votes and a second term in the White House is practically nonexistent, given his polling in other swing states.
The poll's result is all the more notable given the propensity of polling to severely underestimate support for Trump. In 2020, polling overestimated Biden's support in Virginia by a few points, but polling averages were pretty accurate in 2016.

---

Just came here to post about Virginia. If Biden can't even secure that state by double digits, even showing tied in one poll, I don't know how he stops the bleeding.

This looks like a disaster.

good time for an anonymous source to disclose something racist about Trump from two decades ago, back when he was a democrat

This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.

SwigAg11 said:

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This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.

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you think Biden rises in the polls after the regime got a felony conviction on his political opponent?

nortex97 said:

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Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;

Quote:

---

A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.

Quote:

---

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

---

---

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.

---

Gavin Newsom off stage left.

FTAG 2000 said:

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nortex97 said:

---

Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;

Quote:

---

A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.

Quote:

---

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

---

---

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.

---

Gavin Newsom off stage left.

---

If Newsom becomes the candidate, it's because the Dems know they cannot win with Biden/Harris as the ticket.

If Biden is still their candidate, it's because the Dems know they already have it all won.

Either scenario is very telling. And the latter one should scare the hell out of you. That they can control the system so strongly to get Biden "elected" twice ought to make you realize that voting in a Presidential election will be pointless going forward.

SwigAg11 said:

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This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.

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Hopefully we can keep it about the polling